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What will be the outcome of impeachment proceedings against President Yoon by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcement from the South Korean National Assembly
Story
Han Dong-hoon Urges Suspension of President Yoon Over Martial Law and Arrest Orders
Dec 6, 2024, 01:17 AM
On Friday, South Korea's ruling party leader, Han Dong-hoon, called for the swift suspension of President Yoon Suk Yeol from office following the president's brief declaration of martial law. Han Dong-hoon, leader of the People Power Party, stated that the "rapid suspension of President Yoon's duties is necessary to protect South Korea and its people." The martial law, which lasted just six hours, has raised serious concerns within the ruling party. Han warned that there is a "significant risk that extreme actions similar to the martial law declaration could be repeated." He also alleged that he had received intelligence indicating that President Yoon ordered troops to arrest prominent opposition politicians during the martial law period. The shift in stance by the ruling party increases the likelihood of an impeachment motion passing against President Yoon.
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Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
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Resigned before conclusion • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resigns before impeachment • 25%
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Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Case postponed • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
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Impeachment rejected • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Reinstated • 33%
Removed from office • 33%
Other resolution • 34%
Impeached • 33%
Not Impeached • 33%
Resigned Before Decision • 34%