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What will be the outcome of Paraguay's diplomatic relations with China and Taiwan by the end of 2024?
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Paraguay•Chinese•Xu Wei•Taiwan•China•Ministry of Foreign Affairs•UNESCO•Asunción•Paraguayan Foreign Ministry
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maintains ties with Taiwan only • 25%
Establishes ties with China only • 25%
Maintains ties with both • 25%
Severs ties with both • 25%
Official announcements from the Paraguayan government, Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, or Taiwanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Story
Paraguay Expels Chinese Envoy Xu Wei for Urging Severing Ties with Taiwan
Dec 5, 2024, 11:49 PM
Paraguay has expelled a Chinese diplomat, Xu Wei, over allegations of interference in its internal affairs, specifically for urging the country to sever diplomatic ties with Taiwan. Xu Wei, a minister counselor of the Department of Latin American and Caribbean Affairs at China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, was attending a UNESCO meeting in Asunción as part of a Chinese delegation. The Paraguayan Foreign Ministry stated that after entering the country, Xu Wei visited lawmakers and urged them to reconsider Paraguay's long-standing diplomatic relationship with Taiwan. In response to this interference, the government canceled his visa on Thursday and ordered him to leave the country within 24 hours.
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Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
China • 25%
Another country • 25%
No new relations established • 25%
Other • 25%
Recognition has no significant impact • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Recognition leads to further diplomatic tensions • 25%
Recognition leads to improved relations • 25%
Escalated to EU Level • 25%
Resolved Amicably • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Continued Tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Significant conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased military cooperation between Taiwan and allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%