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Market
Outcome of Paraguay-China diplomatic relations by end of 2024
2
Paraguay•Chinese•Xu Wei•Ministry of Foreign Affairs•Taiwan•China•Paraguayan•UNESCO•Asunción•Chinese Foreign Ministry•Lin Jian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Official announcements from the Paraguayan or Chinese government or reputable international news agencies
Story
Paraguay Expels Chinese Diplomat Xu Wei over Taiwan Interference, Orders Departure in 24 Hours
Dec 6, 2024, 04:01 AM
Paraguay has expelled Chinese diplomat Xu Wei, Minister Counselor of the Department of Latin American and Caribbean Affairs of China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, for allegedly interfering in its domestic affairs by urging lawmakers to break diplomatic ties with Taiwan in favor of China. The Paraguayan government canceled his visa and ordered him to leave the country within 24 hours. Xu Wei was attending a UNESCO meeting in Asunción as part of a Chinese delegation when he reportedly met with lawmakers to advocate for the recognition of China over Taiwan. Paraguay, one of only 12 countries that maintain formal diplomatic relations with Taiwan, accused the envoy of violating diplomatic norms. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian responded, stating that the accusations are unfounded, unjustified, and unacceptable.
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Similar markets
Maintains ties with both • 25%
Severs ties with both • 25%
Maintains ties with Taiwan only • 25%
Establishes ties with China only • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Re-establish diplomatic relations • 25%
Strengthen ties with Taiwan • 25%
Impose trade restrictions • 25%
Condemnation from major Western countries • 25%
Mixed or no significant response • 25%
Support from Latin American countries • 25%
Support from major Western countries • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Recognition has no significant impact • 25%
Recognition leads to further diplomatic tensions • 25%
Recognition leads to improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Diplomatic breakdown • 25%
Status quo • 25%