Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Orban's diplomatic efforts in the Ukraine-Russia conflict by the end of 2024?
3
Hungarian•Viktor Orban•Christmas ceasefire•Russia•Ukraine•Kremlin•Orban•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Putin•Russian Federal Security Service•FSB•Moscow•Dmitry Peskov•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Turkish•Tayyip Erdogan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Prisoner exchange agreed • 25%
Both ceasefire and exchange agreed • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Official announcements or reports from credible international news agencies
Story
Ukraine Rejects Orban's Christmas Ceasefire and Prisoner Swap Proposal Backed by Russia
Dec 12, 2024, 11:13 AM
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has proposed a Christmas ceasefire and a large-scale prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine, according to statements from Hungarian officials and the Kremlin. Orban discussed the proposals during a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, with Orban's Chief of Staff stating that Putin was supportive regarding a potential prisoner of war exchange. The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) has sent the exchange proposal to the Hungarian embassy in Moscow. The Kremlin's Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov said that Ukraine has refused all of Orban's proposals. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has criticized Orban's efforts, emphasizing that discussions about the war should not occur without Ukraine's involvement and accusing Orban of trying to boost his personal image. Orban responded by expressing disappointment, saying, 'We did what we could!' Orban is also scheduled to meet Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Thursday as part of his diplomatic efforts to broker a ceasefire in Ukraine.
View original story
Similar markets
Resolved diplomatically • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalated to EU intervention • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Other • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Partial diplomatic relations established • 25%
Relations deteriorate further • 25%
No diplomatic relations established • 25%
Full diplomatic relations established • 25%