Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Israeli control over the Golan Heights buffer zone by the end of 2025?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Golan Heights•Syria•Netanyahu•1974 Disengagement Agreement•Syrian•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel retains control • 25%
Syria regains control • 25%
A new peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from Israeli or Syrian governments, or credible international news agencies
Story
Netanyahu Seizes Golan Buffer Zone After Assad Regime Collapse, Declares 1974 Agreement Over
Dec 8, 2024, 03:19 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that Israeli forces have seized control of the buffer zone in the Golan Heights, following the collapse of President Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria. Netanyahu declared that the 1974 Disengagement Agreement, which had maintained peace for 50 years, has collapsed as Syrian soldiers abandoned their positions. "We will not allow any enemy force to be stationed on our borders," he stated. Netanyahu instructed the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to secure the buffer zone and adjacent strategic positions, including command posts. The move aims to prevent hostile forces from establishing a presence near Israel's borders amid the unrest in Syria.
View original story
Similar markets
Israel retains control • 25%
Israel withdraws voluntarily • 25%
Israel forced to withdraw • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
Israel invades Lebanon • 25%
Increased skirmishes but no invasion • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Israel withdraws unconditionally • 25%
Israel withdraws with conditions • 25%
No withdrawal by end of 2025 • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains under Israeli control • 25%
International administration • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Return to 1974 agreement terms • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Israel remains with international agreement • 25%
Israel remains without international agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel withdraws troops • 25%
Israel maintains presence • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Under Israeli control • 25%
Under Syrian control • 25%
Under UN control • 25%
Disputed/Other • 25%