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What will be the status of the Golan Heights region by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Under Israeli control • 25%
Under Syrian control • 25%
Under UN control • 25%
Disputed/Other • 25%
Reports from credible news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera, and official government statements
Story
Hezbollah Missile Attack on Majdal Shams: 14 Dead, 11 Injured, 5 Critically
Jul 27, 2024, 03:45 PM
A missile attack by Hezbollah on Majdal Shams, a majority-Druze city in northern Israel, has resulted in significant casualties. According to Israeli medics, 11 people were injured, with 5 in critical condition and 6 seriously wounded. The attack occurred in the Golan Heights, which is Syrian-occupied territory. Israeli media reports indicate that 14 people have died and dozens more are injured. The incident followed an earlier Israeli strike that killed four Hezbollah fighters in the border village of Kfar Kila. Search and rescue operations are currently underway as rockets continue to fall. This has been described as a mass casualty event in northern Israel.
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Remains under Israeli control • 25%
International administration • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains occupied • 25%
Recognized as Israeli • 25%
Recognized as Syrian • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Israel withdraws voluntarily • 25%
Israel forced to withdraw • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
Israel retains full control • 25%
Partial control with international oversight • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Other arrangements • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Remains under Israeli control • 25%
Returned to Syrian control • 25%
Becomes demilitarized zone • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Syria regains control • 25%
A new peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Returns to Syria • 25%
Controlled by Israel • 25%
Controlled by another state • 25%
Remains contested • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Return to 1974 agreement terms • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Fully demilitarized • 25%
Partially occupied by Israel • 25%
Under UN control • 25%
Other • 25%
