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Will Israel maintain control over the Golan Heights buffer zone by the end of 2024?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Golan Heights•Syria•Netanyahu•1974 Disengagement Agreement•Syrian•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible international news agencies
Story
Netanyahu Seizes Golan Buffer Zone After Assad Regime Collapse, Declares 1974 Agreement Over
Dec 8, 2024, 03:19 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that Israeli forces have seized control of the buffer zone in the Golan Heights, following the collapse of President Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria. Netanyahu declared that the 1974 Disengagement Agreement, which had maintained peace for 50 years, has collapsed as Syrian soldiers abandoned their positions. "We will not allow any enemy force to be stationed on our borders," he stated. Netanyahu instructed the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to secure the buffer zone and adjacent strategic positions, including command posts. The move aims to prevent hostile forces from establishing a presence near Israel's borders amid the unrest in Syria.
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Israel retains control • 25%
Israel withdraws voluntarily • 25%
Israel forced to withdraw • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Israel retains control • 25%
Return to 1974 agreement terms • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Remains under Israeli control • 25%
International administration • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Under Israeli control • 25%
Under Syrian control • 25%
Under UN control • 25%
Disputed/Other • 25%
Israel retains full control • 25%
Partial control with international oversight • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Other arrangements • 25%
Israel withdraws unconditionally • 25%
Israel withdraws with conditions • 25%
No withdrawal by end of 2025 • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
