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What will be the outcome of Israeli troop deployment in Syrian buffer zone by end of 2025?
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Syria•Separation of Forces Agreement•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israeli•Golan Heights•United Nations•United States•Jake Sullivan•Turkey•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel withdraws troops • 25%
Israel maintains presence • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Statements from involved parties and international organizations
Story
Israel Deploys Troops in Syrian Buffer Zone, Citing Security Concerns
Dec 12, 2024, 05:53 PM
Israeli troops have advanced into a buffer zone in Syria, established by the 1974 Separation of Forces Agreement, following the collapse of Bashar al-Assad's regime. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office stated that the deployment is temporary and for 'strategic reasons,' aimed at preventing jihadist groups from filling the security vacuum and threatening Israeli communities in the Golan Heights. The move has drawn criticism from the United Nations for violating the ceasefire agreement, while the United States described it as an 'important temporary deployment.' Meanwhile, U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan has been engaging in intensive discussions with Turkey regarding the situation in Syria, emphasizing Israel's right to defend itself from security risks.
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Complete withdrawal with no incidents • 25%
Prolonged deployment due to ongoing threats • 25%
Escalation into wider conflict • 25%
Deployment leads to peace negotiations • 25%
Israel withdraws completely • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
New agreement allows presence • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Israel maintains presence • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
New security agreement reached • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel withdraws unconditionally • 25%
Israel withdraws with conditions • 25%
No withdrawal by end of 2025 • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Complete Withdrawal • 25%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
Increased Presence • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Syria regains control • 25%
A new peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Continued presence with limited engagement • 25%
Expansion of control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Israel withdraws voluntarily • 25%
Israel forced to withdraw • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
Israel invades Lebanon • 25%
Increased skirmishes but no invasion • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
IDF withdraws completely • 25%
IDF maintains current position • 25%
IDF increases its presence • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
General support for Israel's actions • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%