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What will be the outcome of ispace's Resilience lunar landing by June 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful landing • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Official announcement from ispace or reputable space news outlets
Story
SpaceX Launches Blue Ghost and Resilience Lunar Landers to Moon from Pad 39A
Jan 15, 2025, 06:34 AM
SpaceX has successfully launched two lunar landers, Blue Ghost by Firefly Aerospace and Resilience by Japanese company ispace, aboard a Falcon 9 rocket from Kennedy Space Center's historic pad 39A at 1:11 a.m. ET on January 15, 2025. The Blue Ghost mission will spend approximately 45 days traveling to the Moon and conduct 14 days of surface operations with 10 NASA instruments. ispace's Resilience lander marks the company's second attempt to achieve a moon landing after a previous failure in April 2023 and is scheduled to attempt a landing in May or June. Resilience carries a rover equipped to gather lunar soil samples and test potential resources for future explorers. Both landers have been successfully deployed and are en route to the Moon, representing a significant step in private lunar exploration and efforts to establish a long-term human presence on the Moon.
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Successful landing but rover non-operational • 25%
Successful landing and rover operational • 25%
Landing attempt but mission failure • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Unsuccessful landing • 25%
Successful landing and mission completion • 25%
Successful landing but mission incomplete • 25%
Mission aborted before landing • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Successful orbit insertion • 25%
Partial success (satellite deployed but not in intended orbit) • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Successful orbit insertion • 25%
Launch postponed beyond 2025 • 25%
Failure (e.g., explosion or termination) • 25%
Partial success (e.g., suborbital flight) • 25%
Launch failure after liftoff but before orbit • 25%
Successful launch and satellite deployment • 25%
Launch failure during ascent • 25%
Launch postponed or canceled • 25%
Unsuccessful landing • 25%
Successful landing and mission completion • 25%
Successful landing but mission incomplete • 25%
Mission aborted before landing • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Launch failure • 25%
Landing attempt but mission failure • 25%
Successful landing but some payloads non-operational • 25%
Successful landing and all payloads operational • 25%
Launch delayed • 25%
Successful launch and mission • 25%
Mission cancelled • 25%
Mission failure • 25%