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What will be the primary scientific achievement of Blue Ghost's lunar mission by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful data collection • 25%
Technological demonstration • 25%
Discovery of lunar resources • 25%
Mission failure • 25%
Official reports from NASA or Firefly Aerospace
Story
SpaceX Launches Blue Ghost and Resilience Lunar Landers to Moon from Pad 39A
Jan 15, 2025, 06:34 AM
SpaceX has successfully launched two lunar landers, Blue Ghost by Firefly Aerospace and Resilience by Japanese company ispace, aboard a Falcon 9 rocket from Kennedy Space Center's historic pad 39A at 1:11 a.m. ET on January 15, 2025. The Blue Ghost mission will spend approximately 45 days traveling to the Moon and conduct 14 days of surface operations with 10 NASA instruments. ispace's Resilience lander marks the company's second attempt to achieve a moon landing after a previous failure in April 2023 and is scheduled to attempt a landing in May or June. Resilience carries a rover equipped to gather lunar soil samples and test potential resources for future explorers. Both landers have been successfully deployed and are en route to the Moon, representing a significant step in private lunar exploration and efforts to establish a long-term human presence on the Moon.
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Launch failure • 25%
Landing attempt but mission failure • 25%
Successful landing but some payloads non-operational • 25%
Successful landing and all payloads operational • 25%
Successful landing but mission incomplete • 25%
Successful landing and mission completion • 25%
Unsuccessful landing • 25%
Mission aborted before landing • 25%
Successful landing but rover non-operational • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Landing attempt but mission failure • 25%
Successful landing and rover operational • 25%
Lunar habitat establishment • 25%
Resource extraction • 25%
Other • 25%
Moon's geological history • 25%
Other breakthrough • 25%
Neutrino oscillation discovery • 25%
Solar neutrino detection • 25%
Neutrino mass measurement • 25%
Other • 25%
Macau University of Science and Technology • 25%
University of Hong Kong • 25%
China University of Geosciences (Beijing) • 25%
Revised to older than 4.51 billion years • 25%
Confirmation of 4.51 billion years • 25%
No significant new findings • 25%
Revised to younger than 4.51 billion years • 25%
Unsuccessful landing • 25%
Successful landing but mission incomplete • 25%
Mission aborted before landing • 25%
Successful landing and mission completion • 25%
Other challenges • 25%
Technical malfunctions • 25%
Data analysis issues • 25%
Resource limitations • 25%
Other significant scientific discovery • 25%
Successful extended observation of the Sun's corona • 25%
Detection of new solar phenomena • 25%
Technical malfunction requiring mission adjustment • 25%