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What will be the outcome of Iran's diplomatic visit to Russia by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Joint military action • 25%
Diplomatic resolution plan • 25%
Increased economic aid • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Official statements from Iranian or Russian government sources, and credible news outlets
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Iran Open to Sending Troops to Syria if Damascus Requests, Says Foreign Minister Araghchi
Dec 3, 2024, 04:56 PM
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated on December 3, 2024, that Tehran is prepared to consider deploying troops to Syria if the Syrian government in Damascus officially requests assistance. In an interview with the Qatari-owned news outlet Al Araby Al Jadeed, Araghchi emphasized that Iran does not command resistance groups in Arab countries nor has organizational ties with them, but supports them. He mentioned plans to visit Russia to discuss the situation in Syria and expressed readiness to help calm the situation and create an opportunity for a permanent solution. This announcement comes amid a resurgence of terrorist activity and a sweeping anti-government offensive in northern Syria.
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Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Increased military support for Syrian government • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant diplomatic outcome • 25%
Signed as planned • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Modified terms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Military agreement reached • 25%
Economic agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Some released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
None released • 25%
All three released • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Embassies reopened • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
Other regional power gains influence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Reduced cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
Stalled Negotiations • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
New nuclear agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Continuation of current tensions • 25%