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What will be the outcome of diplomatic talks between US and Russia by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from US or Russian governments, international news agencies
Story
Russia Intercepts Eight US-Supplied Long-Range ATACMS Missiles, Warns of Hypersonic Retaliation
Jan 4, 2025, 10:15 AM
Russia's military reported intercepting eight US-supplied ATACMS missiles launched by Ukraine, according to statements from Russian defense forces. The incident marks a notable escalation in the ongoing conflict, as Moscow has previously warned that the use of such long-range missiles could provoke a hypersonic ballistic missile attack on central Kyiv. The ATACMS missiles, which have a range of up to 190 miles, were part of a broader assault that also included 72 drones, all of which were reportedly downed by Russian air defenses. The Russian military did not specify whether there were any casualties or damage resulting from the missile interception. Moscow has accused the outgoing Biden administration of stoking the conflict by supplying these missiles to Ukraine.
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No significant progress • 25%
New treaty signed • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Improved relations without formal treaty • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Meeting occurs • 25%
Meeting planned but not held • 25%
No meeting planned • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Talks continue without resolution • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
No Talks • 25%
Significant Progress • 25%
Talks result in new sanctions • 25%
Talks lead to de-escalation • 25%
Talks lead to increased tensions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Agreement Reached • 25%
Postponed Discussions • 25%
Escalated Tensions • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Summit Meeting • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%