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Outcome of next major Iran-Syria diplomatic meeting on military cooperation by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Reduced cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Iranian or Syrian governments or verified news reports
Story
Iranian FM Reveals Prior Knowledge of HTS Attack on Aleppo, Assad Surprised by Syrian Army's Inability to Respond
Dec 8, 2024, 06:49 PM
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has revealed that Iran had prior intelligence about an impending attack on Aleppo from Idlib by Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which was shared with the Syrian government. Despite this, the Syrian army's inability to respond effectively was surprising, as was the speed of the unfolding events. During a recent meeting, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad expressed his own surprise and concern over the Syrian military's performance, attributing it to psychological warfare and media operations affecting the army's morale.
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Embassies reopened • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
No change • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other regional power gains influence • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
Stalled Negotiations • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Informal cooperation agreements • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Hostile relations develop • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic break • 25%
No significant change • 25%
