Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of diplomatic efforts between France and Iran by June 30, 2025?
2
France•Iranian•Paris•French•Iran•French Foreign Ministry•Islamic Republic of Iran•Cécile Kohler•Jacques Paris•Olivier
Resolution / Starting Odds
All three released • 25%
Some released • 25%
None released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the French Foreign Ministry or Iranian authorities
Story
France Demands Immediate Release of Three French Nationals Held Hostage in Iran
Jan 10, 2025, 04:42 PM
France has summoned the Iranian ambassador to Paris to address the issue of three French nationals detained in Iran since 2022, whom the French Foreign Ministry refers to as 'hostages of the state of the Islamic Republic of Iran.' These individuals are Cécile Kohler, Jacques Paris, and a third person named Olivier. The ministry described their situation as 'unbearable,' citing 'undignified detention conditions' that, in some cases, 'constitute torture under international law.' France is demanding the immediate release of these individuals and has advised its citizens against traveling to Iran, recommending those already there to leave due to the risk of arbitrary arrest and detention.
View original story
Similar markets
New agreement • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Return to JCPoA • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Some citizens released • 25%
All three citizens released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No citizens released • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
New diplomatic agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New nuclear agreement • 25%
Continuation of current tensions • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Full diplomatic relations established • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement only • 25%
No significant agreements • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Diplomatic ties severed • 25%
Relations unchanged • 25%
Relations improved • 25%
Relations deteriorated • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
Increased economic aid • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Diplomatic resolution plan • 25%
Joint military action • 25%
Iran secures safe passage and shrine protection • 25%
Only safe passage secured • 25%
Only shrine protection secured • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
Embassies reopened • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%