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What will be the outcome of Hezbollah's military strategy against Israel by mid-2025?
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Naim Qassem•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Nasrallah•Islamic•Qassem•Israel•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Lebanese
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hezbollah gains territory • 25%
Israel gains territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial change • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial change • 25%
Reports from major news agencies and official statements from Israeli and Hezbollah authorities
Story
Hezbollah's Qassem Marks 40 Days Since Nasrallah's Death, Vows War Only Ends on Battlefield
Nov 6, 2024, 01:21 PM
Naim Qassem, the newly appointed Secretary General of Hezbollah, delivered his second speech since taking over the role following the assassination of former leader Hassan Nasrallah. Speaking on Wednesday, which marked 40 days since Nasrallah's death—a significant period in Islamic tradition—Qassem emphasized that the ongoing war with Israel can only be ended through battlefield action. He stated, 'Only one thing will end this war, which is the battlefield,' and added, 'We are in a defensive state.' Qassem declared that Hezbollah has 'tens of thousands of trained fighters capable of confronting the enemy' and warned that 'there is no place in Israel that is off-limits to planes and missiles.' He dismissed the possibility of resolving the conflict through political means, asserting, 'We are not expecting the end of the war through any political action.' He accused Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of 'pursuing a project that goes beyond the borders' and emphasized that any negotiations must protect Lebanese sovereignty completely. Qassem assured supporters of Hezbollah's capabilities, expressed confidence that the group will force Israel to seek a ceasefire, and stated, 'We expected war to happen, so we prepared for it.'
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Increased military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Hezbollah weakens • 25%
Successful with significant damage • 25%
Partial success with minor damage • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah gains ground • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah strengthens • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Successful offensive with significant Israeli casualties • 25%
Failed offensive with significant Hezbollah casualties • 25%
Stalemate with no significant casualties on either side • 25%
No major military action • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Hezbollah victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
No significant engagement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-Scale War • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Hezbollah disarmed • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah moderately weakened • 25%
Hezbollah remains strong • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased attacks on Israel • 25%
Increased focus on Lebanon's internal politics • 25%
Strengthening alliances with other groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli military achieves significant territorial gains • 25%
Hezbollah successfully defends its positions • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-level skirmishes • 25%
Other • 25%