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Outcome of Hezbollah's strategy against Israel by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Hezbollah weakens • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and statements from Hezbollah
Story
Hezbollah Acknowledges Loss of Syrian Supply Route, Hopes for Anti-Israel Stance from New Syrian Leadership
Dec 14, 2024, 04:33 PM
Hezbollah's Deputy Secretary General, Sheikh Naim Qassem, has publicly acknowledged in a televised address that the group has lost its military supply route through Syria following the toppling of President Bashar al-Assad by a sweeping opposition offensive. Qassem expressed hope that the new Syrian leadership would view Israel as an enemy and not normalize relations with it. Despite the setback, he emphasized Hezbollah's resilience and adaptability, suggesting the group can find alternative ways to continue its operations. Qassem also commented on Israel's ambitions, suggesting that they aim to settle in Gaza and annex the West Bank, and reiterated Hezbollah's commitment to resistance against Israel, stating that Israeli actions have not succeeded in breaking the group's resolve.
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Hezbollah gains territory • 25%
Israel gains territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial change • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial change • 25%
Successful with significant damage • 25%
Partial success with minor damage • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict without resolution • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah gains strength • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Significant reduction in Hezbollah's activities • 25%
Continued low-level skirmishes • 25%
Escalation to full-scale conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Conflict escalates further • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel victory • 33%
Hezbollah victory • 33%
Stalemate/No clear victor • 33%
Continued skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic means • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Israeli withdrawal without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Escalation to wider regional conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli military achieves significant territorial gains • 25%
Hezbollah successfully defends its positions • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%