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What will be the outcome of diplomatic talks regarding Putin's missile proposal by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Talks lead to de-escalation • 25%
Talks lead to increased tensions • 25%
Talks result in new sanctions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Reports from international diplomatic meetings or summits
Story
Putin Proposes Missile Duel Over Kyiv with Oreshnik Missile
Dec 19, 2024, 02:11 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed a "technological duel" with the West to test Russia's new Oreshnik hypersonic ballistic missile. During a televised Q&A session, Putin suggested that the West select a target in Kyiv, concentrate all their air and missile defense systems there, and Russia would strike it with the Oreshnik to demonstrate its capabilities. He claimed that the Oreshnik, with a range of up to 5,500 km, is impossible to intercept and that no one has a chance of shooting it down. In response, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky criticized Putin's proposal, saying, "People are dying, and he thinks it’s interesting... dumbass."
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Agreement Reached • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Postponed Discussions • 25%
Escalated Tensions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement on missile limitations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Accepted by U.S. • 25%
Rejected by U.S. • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
De-escalation achieved • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Engagement in dialogue • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting canceled • 25%
Challenge accepted and conducted • 25%
Challenge accepted but not conducted • 25%
Challenge rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
Talks successful, no arms provided • 25%
Talks fail, arms provided • 25%
Talks ongoing, no decision • 25%
Talks fail, no arms provided • 25%
Successful de-escalation agreement • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No significant diplomatic developments • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Improved communication channels • 25%