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Will Russia and the US hold a formal diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the US State Department or Russian Foreign Ministry
Story
Russia's Lavrov Warns West with 'Oreshnik' Test, Seeks Normal US Relations
Dec 5, 2024, 11:30 PM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, in an interview with Tucker Carlson, stated that Russia does not seek war with the United States and desires normal relations. Lavrov emphasized that Russia is prepared to use any means to defend its interests, highlighting the recent test of the 'Oreshnik' hypersonic missile as a clear signal to the West. He warned that discussions of a limited nuclear strike are an invitation to catastrophe that Russia wants to avoid. Lavrov noted that Russia and the US currently maintain dialogue mainly through prisoner exchange channels. He reiterated that Russia does not intend to destroy the Ukrainian people, whom he referred to as 'brothers and sisters,' and asserted that it is mistaken for anyone in the West to believe that Russia has no 'red lines.' He stated that Russia's conditions are 'No NATO, no military bases, no military exercises with foreign troops on Ukrainian soil.'
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Meeting occurs • 25%
Meeting planned but not held • 25%
No meeting planned • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Severely deteriorated • 25%
Moderately deteriorated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved • 25%