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What will be the outcome of Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations by April 20, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full Peace Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Only • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements or documents from the involved parties
Story
Trump Aims to End Ukraine War by Easter, Appoints Keith Kellogg as Envoy, Resolving Conflict by January 20
Jan 8, 2025, 07:59 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has prioritized ending the war in Ukraine, announcing plans to resolve the conflict within the first 100 days of his administration. Appointing General Keith Kellogg as the special representative for Ukraine and Russia, Trump aims to secure a solution that preserves Ukraine's sovereignty. Analysts suggest that a potential deal could emerge by Easter, contingent upon concessions from both Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Kellogg emphasized that the administration's approach will not involve yielding to Russian demands, but rather focus on fairness and the protection of Ukraine's territorial integrity.
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Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Full peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Escalation in conflict • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Negotiations postponed • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Mutual concessions • 25%
Territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Territorial concessions by Russia • 25%
Ongoing talks • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%