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What will be the outcome of Biden-Xi meeting on Taiwan tensions by November 2024?
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Joe Biden•Chinese•Xi Jinping•Lima•Peru•APEC•Biden•Russia•Taiwan Strait•ICBM•Donald Trump•White House
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence by China • 25%
Commitment to diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official statements from the US or Chinese governments or reputable news outlets
Story
Biden and Xi to Meet Saturday in Peru for Last Time During Biden's Term
Nov 13, 2024, 05:40 PM
President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping are set to meet on Saturday in Lima, Peru, on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit. This will be the last of three in-person meetings between the leaders during Biden's term in office, according to senior administration officials. Key topics to be discussed include the global fentanyl crisis, Chinese support for Russia, Taiwan Strait tensions, and cybersecurity. Both nations have pre-notified ICBM launches for the first time. The meeting comes as US-China relations face significant challenges, including the impending return of Donald Trump to the White House.
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No significant progress • 25%
Agreement to de-escalate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes, with significant outcomes • 25%
Yes, but no significant outcomes • 25%
No meeting • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Successful dialogue initiated • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation to conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased military cooperation between Taiwan and allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
Maintains current policy • 25%
Decreased support for Taiwan • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Decreased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 33%
Status quo • 33%
Deteriorated relations • 33%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Significant conflict or skirmish • 25%
