Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Assad's negotiations with Israel by June 30, 2025?
2
Israel•Saudi•Syrian•Aleppo•Assad•Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Syria•Iranian•Hezbollah•European
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Official announcements or credible news reports
Story
Assad Seeks Israel's Help as Aleppo Falls, Offers Iran's Removal
Dec 2, 2024, 03:58 PM
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has reportedly reached out to Israel, via Saudi intermediaries, for assistance in countering advancing Syrian rebel forces, including jihadist factions that have overrun Aleppo. In exchange for Israel's help, Assad has allegedly offered to expel the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and their proxies from Syria, halt Iranian weapons shipments to Hezbollah through Syrian territory, and engage through a European intermediary. Reports suggest that Israel has responded by demanding the removal of Iranian forces from Syria as a precondition for any potential cooperation. This development highlights the increasing pressure on Assad's regime amid rebel advances and internal challenges.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Remains in power • 25%
Agrees to exile • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No progress • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel agrees to withdraw • 25%
Israel increases presence • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Resolution and ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No negotiations held • 25%
Full concession by Israel • 25%
Partial concession by Israel • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Cut ties completely • 25%
Strengthen ties • 25%
Maintain current ties • 25%
Reduce ties significantly • 25%
Partial withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Complete withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Ongoing civil conflict • 25%
New regime established • 25%
Assad returns to power • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No progress • 25%
Successful peace talks initiated • 25%