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Assad's action regarding Iran ties by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Cut ties completely • 25%
Reduce ties significantly • 25%
Maintain current ties • 25%
Strengthen ties • 25%
Official announcements from Syrian government or credible international news sources
Story
U.S., UAE Offer Assad Sanctions Relief for Cutting Iran Ties, Hezbollah Arms
Dec 2, 2024, 01:50 PM
The United States and the United Arab Emirates have engaged in discussions about potentially lifting sanctions on Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, contingent upon him severing ties with Iran and halting weapons supplies to Hezbollah, according to sources familiar with the matter. These talks have been reported to Reuters and involve leveraging the upcoming December 20 expiration of the Caesar Act sanctions to encourage Assad to distance himself from Iran. The discussions aim to curb Iran's influence in Syria and offer economic incentives, including reconstruction funds, in exchange for Assad's compliance.
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Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Complete Rebel Defeat • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Rebel Gains • 25%
Assad Overthrown • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Assad cuts ties and remains in power • 25%
Assad cuts ties and steps down • 25%
Assad does not cut ties and remains in power • 25%
Assad does not cut ties and steps down • 25%
