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What will be the outcome of potential negotiations between Israel and Syria regarding the Golan Heights by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Status quo maintained • 25%
Partial concession by Israel • 25%
Full concession by Israel • 25%
No negotiations held • 25%
Official statements from involved governments or credible international mediators
Story
Israel Warns Syria of Forceful Response if Iran Returns or Hezbollah Arms
Dec 10, 2024, 03:02 PM
Israel has issued a stern warning to the new Syrian regime, stating that it will act decisively to protect its security if the new government allows Iran to re-establish its presence in Syria or acts against Israel. This statement was made by a senior Israeli official, who emphasized that Israel does not wish to interfere in Syria's internal affairs but will respond forcefully to any threats. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterated this position, highlighting Israel's intention to establish relations with the new Syrian leadership but warning of a strong response should Iran return or if weapons are transferred to Hezbollah. The Israeli stance comes amidst hopes that the new regime will focus on the welfare of the Syrian people and restore ties with the Arab world, while maintaining security in the Golan Heights.
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Complete withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Partial withdrawal by Israel • 25%
No withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel agrees to withdraw • 25%
Israel increases presence • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Israel retains control • 25%
Israel withdraws voluntarily • 25%
Israel forced to withdraw • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks fail • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
Syria regains control • 25%
A new peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued military conflict • 25%
Increased international sanctions • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Israel withdraws from buffer zone • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Increased international sanctions • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
UN Resolution Passed • 25%
Economic Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Diplomatic Talks Initiated • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%