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Market
What will be the next major action by Hamas in response to the Israeli airstrike by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Retaliatory attack against Israel • 25%
Formal complaint to the UN • 25%
Increased recruitment and propaganda • 25%
No major action • 25%
Verified news reports from major media outlets
Story
Israeli Airstrike in Tyre's Al-Bass Camp Kills Hamas Leader Fathi al-Sharif and Family
Sep 30, 2024, 05:55 AM
Israel has conducted an airstrike in southern Lebanon that killed Fateh Sharif Abu al-Amin, also known as Fathi al-Sharif, the leader of Hamas in Lebanon, along with his wife and two sons, according to statements from Hamas. The strike targeted his home in the Al-Bass refugee camp in the city of Tyre. In addition to his role in Hamas, Abu al-Amin was the principal of a United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) school and served as the President of the UNRWA Teachers Union in Lebanon.
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Airstrike • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Increased Military Actions • 25%
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No significant action • 25%
Retaliatory attack • 25%
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Rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Ground attacks on Israeli forces • 25%
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Terrorist Attacks • 25%
Political Retaliation • 25%
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Ceasefire proposal • 25%