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Market
What will be the next significant action taken by Hamas in response to the August 10, 2024 airstrike by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Border infiltration attempts • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified reports from major news agencies (e.g., Reuters, BBC, Al Jazeera)
Story
IDF Confirms 38 Terrorists Killed in Saturday Gaza Airstrike
Aug 12, 2024, 10:49 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have confirmed that 38 terrorists from Hamas and Islamic Jihad were killed in a Saturday airstrike on a command post located within the Al-Taba’een school in Gaza. Initially, the IDF reported that 19 terrorists had been eliminated, but this number was later revised. The Shin Bet and Military Intelligence corroborated the updated figure. The strike targeted a stronghold where terrorists were planning attacks against Israel. Hamas initially claimed a higher casualty count but later adjusted it to 40.
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Retaliatory attack against Israel • 25%
Formal complaint to the UN • 25%
Increased recruitment and propaganda • 25%
No major action • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Infiltration attempts • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket Attacks • 25%
Terrorist Attacks • 25%
Political Retaliation • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Retaliatory attack • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Military Actions • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Internal Restructuring • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Tunnel attacks • 25%
Kidnappings • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory attack • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased rocket attacks • 25%
Negotiation or ceasefire • 25%
Major terrorist attack • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Execution of hostages • 25%
Release of hostages • 25%
Retaliatory attack on IDF • 25%
Ceasefire proposal • 25%
Retaliatory attack • 25%
Cease-fire agreement • 25%
Diplomatic negotiation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Ground attacks on Israeli forces • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Denial • 25%
Confirmation • 25%
No comment • 25%
Contradictory statements • 25%