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What actions will Hamas take in response to the airstrike by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Military Actions • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Internal Restructuring • 25%
News reports and official statements from Hamas
Story
Hamas Leader in Lebanon and Family Killed in Israeli Airstrike, UNRWA Confirms Employment
Sep 30, 2024, 09:40 AM
Fateh Sherif Abu el-Amin, a senior leader of Hamas in Lebanon, was killed in an Israeli airstrike along with his wife, son, and daughter. Abu el-Amin, also known as Fathi al-Sharif, held a significant dual role as both the head of the UNRWA teachers' union in Lebanon and a principal at the UNRWA Deir Yassin school. The UNRWA has confirmed his employment, raising concerns about the organization's ties to terrorism. This incident has prompted calls for the dismantling of UNRWA, with critics alleging that the agency knowingly employed individuals involved in terrorist activities.
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Rocket attacks • 25%
Infiltration attempts • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory attack against Israel • 25%
Formal complaint to the UN • 25%
Increased recruitment and propaganda • 25%
No major action • 25%
Rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Border infiltration attempts • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory attack • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Tunnel attacks • 25%
Kidnappings • 25%
Other • 25%
Denial • 25%
Confirmation • 25%
No comment • 25%
Contradictory statements • 25%
Increased rocket attacks • 25%
Negotiation or ceasefire • 25%
Major terrorist attack • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Retaliatory attacks • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Execution of hostages • 25%
Release of hostages • 25%
Retaliatory attack on IDF • 25%
Ceasefire proposal • 25%
Hamas confirms death of Deif • 25%
Hamas denies death of Deif • 25%
Hamas remains silent on Deif • 25%
Hamas confirms death of another senior official • 25%
Retaliation attack • 25%
Public condemnation • 25%
No response • 25%
Other response • 25%