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What will be the outcome of the next set of military drills conducted by China around Taiwan?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased tensions with direct conflicts • 25%
Negotiations initiated between China and Taiwan • 25%
UN-mediated peace talks • 25%
No change in the status quo • 25%
Verified reports from military analysts and major international news agencies.
Story
China Conducts Military Drills Encircling Taiwan to Test Seizure Capabilities, UN Calls for Restraint
May 24, 2024, 12:41 AM
China has announced that its ongoing military drills encircling Taiwan are designed to test the military's ability to seize power over the self-ruled island. These drills, reported by AFP and state media, indicate a significant escalation in the region's tensions. The exercises are seen as a demonstration of China's military capabilities and a potential threat to Taiwan's autonomy. The drills have drawn international attention, with calls for restraint from global leaders, including the UN Secretary-General.
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Increase in military tension • 33%
Status quo maintained • 34%
De-escalation of military activities • 33%
Further drills • 33%
No further action • 33%
Military conflict • 34%
Increase in military spending • 25%
Formation of new military alliances • 25%
Deployment of additional anti-missile systems • 25%
No significant change in military posture • 25%
Strengthening of domestic military capabilities • 25%
Seeking stronger international alliances • 25%
Internal political changes • 25%
No significant change in policy • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 33%
Support from any major country • 33%
No significant international reaction • 34%
US condemns the drills • 25%
EU calls for restraint • 25%
ASEAN issues a neutral statement • 25%
No significant international response • 25%