Loading...
Market
What will be the margin of victory in Elmwood-Transcona in the next federal election?
3
New Democratic Party•NDP•Leila Dance•Conservative Party of Canada•CPC•Colin Reynolds•Liberal Party of Canada•LPC•Ian MacIntyre•Green Party of Canada•GPC•PPC•Canadian Future Party•CFP•Winnipeg
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 2 points • 25%
2 to 5 points • 25%
5 to 10 points • 25%
More than 10 points • 25%
Official election results published by Elections Canada
Story
NDP Wins Elmwood-Transcona By-Election by 4.1 Points with 48.1% of Vote
Sep 17, 2024, 03:10 AM
The New Democratic Party (NDP) has secured a victory in the Elmwood-Transcona by-election, with candidate Leila Dance winning 48.1% of the vote. Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) candidate Colin Reynolds followed closely with 44% of the vote, a 15.9% increase from the previous election. Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) candidate Ian MacIntyre garnered 4.8%, while the Green Party of Canada (GPC) candidate received 1.3%. The People's Party of Canada (PPC) and the Canadian Future Party (CFP) candidates received 1.2% and 0.5% respectively. This result marks a significant shift from the 2021 election, where the NDP won the seat by nearly 22 points. The final margin of victory for the NDP was 4.1 points in the Winnipeg-area riding.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 1,000 votes • 25%
1,000 to 4,999 votes • 25%
5,000 to 9,999 votes • 25%
10,000 or more votes • 25%
Less than 5,000 votes • 25%
5,000 to 10,000 votes • 25%
10,000 to 15,000 votes • 25%
More than 15,000 votes • 25%
Less than 5% • 25%
5%-10% • 25%
10%-15% • 25%
More than 15% • 25%
John Avlon by 0-5% • 25%
John Avlon by 5-10% • 25%
Nick LaLota by 0-5% • 25%
Nick LaLota by 5-10% • 25%
Conservative > 42.1% • 25%
Liberal > 40.5% • 25%
NDP > 10.9% • 25%
Green > 2.9% • 25%
Less than 5% • 33%
Between 5% and 10% • 33%
More than 10% • 34%
Less than 5,000 votes • 25%
5,000 to 10,000 votes • 25%
10,000 to 20,000 votes • 25%
More than 20,000 votes • 25%
Less than 1% • 25%
1% to 5% • 25%
5% to 10% • 25%
More than 10% • 25%
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 to 14,999 • 25%
15,000 to 19,999 • 25%
20,000 or more • 25%
Less than 5% • 33%
Between 5% and 10% • 33%
More than 10% • 34%
Less than 1% • 25%
1% to 3% • 25%
3% to 5% • 25%
More than 5% • 25%