Loading...
Market
What will be the margin of victory in the general election in New York's 1st Congressional District?
3
John Avlon•Democratic•New York•1st Congressional District•Avlon•CNN•No Labels•Nancy Goroff•Associated Press•Trump•Republican Nick LaLota•Long Island
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 5% • 33%
Between 5% and 10% • 33%
More than 10% • 34%
Official election results from the New York State Board of Elections
Story
John Avlon Wins Democratic Primary for U.S. House in New York's 1st District with 70.5% of Vote
Jun 26, 2024, 02:28 AM
John Avlon has secured the Democratic nomination for the U.S. House in New York's 1st Congressional District. Avlon, a former CNN political analyst and co-founder of the political group No Labels, won the primary with 70.5% of the vote (15,447 votes), defeating chemist Nancy Goroff, who garnered 29.5% (6,477 votes). The race was called by the Associated Press at 9:50 p.m. EDT. Avlon's victory, by a margin of 41%, positions him to challenge the incumbent, Trump-backed Republican Nick LaLota, in the upcoming general election. This district, located in eastern Long Island, is considered one of New York's battleground areas.
View original story
Similar markets
John Avlon by 0-5% • 25%
John Avlon by 5-10% • 25%
Nick LaLota by 0-5% • 25%
Nick LaLota by 5-10% • 25%
Less than 5% • 33%
Between 5% and 10% • 33%
More than 10% • 33%
Bowman wins by a large margin • 33%
Latimer wins by a large margin • 33%
Close race • 34%
Bowman wins by 10%+ • 25%
Bowman wins by <10% • 25%
Latimer wins by <10% • 25%
Latimer wins by 10%+ • 25%
John Avlon leading by 0-5% • 33%
Nick LaLota leading by 0-5% • 33%
Tied • 33%
Jamaal Bowman • 33%
George Latimer • 33%
Other candidate • 34%
Above 40% • 33%
Between 30% and 40% • 33%
Below 30% • 34%
Less than 1% • 25%
1% to 5% • 25%
5% to 10% • 25%
More than 10% • 25%
Mike Lawler wins • 25%
Democratic candidate wins • 25%
Third-party candidate wins • 25%
Other outcome • 25%