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Will NDP's margin of victory in Elmwood-Transcona exceed 4.1 points in the next federal election?
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New Democratic Party•NDP•Leila Dance•Conservative Party of Canada•CPC•Colin Reynolds•Liberal Party of Canada•LPC•Ian MacIntyre•Green Party of Canada•GPC•PPC•Canadian Future Party•CFP•Winnipeg
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results published by Elections Canada
Story
NDP Wins Elmwood-Transcona By-Election by 4.1 Points with 48.1% of Vote
Sep 17, 2024, 03:10 AM
The New Democratic Party (NDP) has secured a victory in the Elmwood-Transcona by-election, with candidate Leila Dance winning 48.1% of the vote. Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) candidate Colin Reynolds followed closely with 44% of the vote, a 15.9% increase from the previous election. Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) candidate Ian MacIntyre garnered 4.8%, while the Green Party of Canada (GPC) candidate received 1.3%. The People's Party of Canada (PPC) and the Canadian Future Party (CFP) candidates received 1.2% and 0.5% respectively. This result marks a significant shift from the 2021 election, where the NDP won the seat by nearly 22 points. The final margin of victory for the NDP was 4.1 points in the Winnipeg-area riding.
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