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What will be the leadership change in Ukraine by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains President • 25%
New President from Opposition Party • 25%
New President from Zelenskyy's Party • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or election results reported by reputable news sources
Story
UK's Starmer Signs Historic 100-Year Partnership with Ukraine, Pledging Century-Long Security and Economic Recovery Support
Jan 16, 2025, 05:23 AM
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has arrived in Ukraine to sign a historic 100-year partnership agreement with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. This visit, Starmer's first to Ukraine since becoming prime minister in July, comes just days before Donald Trump's inauguration as U.S. president. The agreement aims to deepen the bond between the UK and Ukraine across defense, science, energy, and trade sectors. Starmer has pledged to help guarantee Ukraine's security for a century, emphasizing the strategic failure of Russian President Vladimir Putin's efforts to isolate Kyiv. The partnership includes commitments to maritime security and technology projects, such as drones, and is part of broader efforts to support Ukraine's post-war economic recovery and security. Starmer announced £40 million for Ukraine's economic recovery, in addition to the UK's previous commitment of 12.8 billion pounds in aid. The visit occurs amidst uncertainty over future U.S. support for Ukraine under Trump's administration.
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New leadership through elections • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
New leadership through other means • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Zelensky reelected • 25%
Opposition candidate wins • 25%
New candidate emerges • 25%
Other • 25%
Government collapses • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Government maintains current status • 25%
Government undergoes significant restructuring • 25%
Dmytro Kuleba • 25%
Denys Shmyhal • 25%
Other • 25%
Volodymyr Zelensky • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Stalemate with current borders • 25%
Loss of territory • 25%
No leader recognized • 25%
Zelenskyy recognized • 25%
New leader recognized • 25%
Recognition contingent on election • 25%
Decrease military support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Push for diplomatic solution • 25%
Increase military support • 25%
Independent sovereign state • 25%
Other status • 25%
Divided into regions controlled by different entities • 25%
Annexed by Russia • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Russia gains territory • 25%
Territory changes hands multiple times • 25%
Ukraine gains territory • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New commander appointed • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Lutsenko reinstated • 25%
Tarnavskyi remains in command • 25%