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What will be the outcome of Ukrainian government's legitimacy crisis by end of 2025?
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Russian•Vladimir Putin•Russia•Ukrainian•Kyiv•Ukraine•Putin•Russian Defense Ministry•NATO•Krasnoarmeysk
Resolution / Starting Odds
Government maintains current status • 25%
Government collapses • 25%
Government undergoes significant restructuring • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from international bodies like the UN or EU, or major news agencies
Story
Putin Claims Russia's Conflict is with 'Neo-Nazi Regime' in Kyiv, Not Ukrainian People; Warns of NATO Military Conflict
Dec 16, 2024, 11:40 AM
In recent statements, Russian President Vladimir Putin reiterated that Russia's conflict is not with the Ukrainian populace but rather with what he termed the 'neo-Nazi regime' that took power in Kyiv following the 2014 coup. He asserted that all issues between Ukraine and Russia stem from this 'bloody unconstitutional coup' and emphasized that the current Ukrainian government is losing its legitimacy and signs of statehood. Putin's remarks were made during a visit to the Russian Defense Ministry, where he also indicated that the Ukrainian regime is committing daily crimes against both its own citizens and the Russian people. He warned of the potential for further military developments, including a conflict with NATO, as tensions continue to escalate in the region. Additionally, reports suggested that the loss of control over the city of Krasnoarmeysk could significantly impact the Ukrainian economy.
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Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine pursues nuclear arms • 25%
Both occur • 25%
Neither occur • 25%
Stalemate/No resolution • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Formal ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Ukraine wins • 25%
Russia wins • 25%
Stalemate or ongoing conflict • 25%
Negotiated peace agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
New peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Stalemate with current borders • 25%
Loss of territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Zelenskyy recognized • 25%
New leader recognized • 25%
No leader recognized • 25%
Recognition contingent on election • 25%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains • 33%
New President • 33%
Interim Government • 33%
Significant reduction in hostilities • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Escalation • 25%