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What will be the Trump administration's policy change on Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase military support • 25%
Decrease military support • 25%
Push for diplomatic solution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official policy announcements from the U.S. government
Story
Trump-Putin Phone Call Expected Soon as First Step Toward Meeting, Acknowledges Crimea Reality
Jan 12, 2025, 05:41 PM
Donald Trump, the U.S. President-elect, is expected to hold a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin in the coming days or weeks, according to Mike Waltz, Trump's nominee for national security advisor. Waltz, speaking to ABC News, described the call as the first step toward a potential meeting between the two leaders, with preparations for such a meeting already underway. Trump believes that reaching an agreement on Ukraine is impossible without dialogue with Russia, and his administration plans to establish a relationship and dialogue with Russia in the coming months. Waltz also stated that it is unrealistic to expect to expel every Russian from every inch of Ukrainian territory, including Crimea, a position that Trump has acknowledged.
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Maintain current support • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Withdraw support • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
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Mixed approach • 25%
Diplomatic focus • 25%
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Withdraw support • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
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Supportive • 25%
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Critical • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
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No change • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
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Other diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Increased military support to Ukraine • 25%
Reduction of military support to Ukraine • 25%