Loading...
Market
What will be the Israeli government's decision regarding Gaza by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full military occupation of Gaza • 25%
Partial military operations • 25%
Continuation of ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official government statements and major news outlets
Story
Israeli Finance Minister Threatens to Topple Government if Gaza Not Occupied and Controlled
Jan 19, 2025, 10:23 AM
Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, a member of the far-right Religious Zionist Party, has threatened to bring down the government if it does not resume fighting in the Gaza Strip with the aim of fully controlling and managing the region. Smotrich stated that Israel must occupy Gaza and impose temporary military rule as the only way to defeat Hamas. His comments come in the wake of a ceasefire and prisoner exchange agreement that took effect, which he described as a 'very serious mistake' and 'surrender to Hamas.' Smotrich's opposition to the ceasefire deal is part of a broader stance against what he perceives as a threat to Israel's national security and a reversal of the war's achievements.
View original story
Similar markets
Full military control of Gaza • 25%
Partial military control of Gaza • 25%
Ceasefire maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Deal approved with terrorist release • 25%
Deal approved without terrorist release • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Postponed • 34%
Approved • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Partial Israeli control • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full Israeli control • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Israeli-appointed administration • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire • 25%
Hostage deal only • 25%