Loading...
Market
How will U.S.-Taiwan military interactions change by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in military interactions • 25%
Decrease in military interactions • 25%
No change in military interactions • 25%
Complete cessation of military interactions • 25%
Official military or government reports, verified news sources
Story
China Demands U.S. Halt Arms Sales, Military Contacts with Taiwan
Dec 2, 2024, 08:32 AM
China has issued a strong warning to the United States, demanding an immediate end to arms sales to Taiwan and the cessation of all official exchanges and military contacts with the region. The Chinese government has reiterated its firm opposition to any form of official interaction between the U.S. and Taiwan, urging Washington to fulfill its commitment to not support 'Taiwan independence.' A Chinese defense spokesperson further emphasized that the U.S. should not aid or abet separatist activities in Taiwan.
View original story
Similar markets
Increase in military aid • 25%
Decrease in military aid • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened military agreements • 25%
No change in agreements • 25%
Reduced military agreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased support for Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%
Maintain current policy • 25%
Increase support for Taiwan • 25%
Decrease support for Taiwan • 25%
Shift to a neutral stance • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Maintained current level of support • 25%
Diplomatic shift without military change • 25%
Significant deterioration • 25%
Minor deterioration • 25%
No change • 25%
Improvement • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
Condemnation of U.S. actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Stricter regulations • 25%
Encouragement of participation • 25%
No change • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Strengthening ties with US • 25%
Strengthening ties with Japan • 25%
Strengthening ties with EU • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Significantly enhanced • 25%
Moderately enhanced • 25%
Slightly enhanced • 25%
No significant change • 25%
