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What will be the international response to Nasrallah's assassination by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified news reports from major news outlets like BBC, Reuters, or Al Jazeera
Story
IDF Names Beirut Operation to Assassinate Hezbollah Leader Nasrallah 'New Order'
Sep 28, 2024, 09:06 AM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have named their recent operation to assassinate Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah as 'New Order.' The operation, which took place in Beirut on Friday, reportedly resulted in Nasrallah's death. The IDF has released pictures of military staff and the Defense Minister during the strike, as well as images from the Israeli Air Force’s underground command center. The operation targeted Hezbollah's headquarters and has drawn attention for its name, which some have noted bears historical connotations.
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UN sanctions against Israel • 25%
EU sanctions against Israel • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of Israel's actions • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Calls for de-escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN issues a resolution condemning the assassination • 25%
Major protests in multiple countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation of Israel's actions • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Calls for de-escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN condemnation of Israel • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Increased US military aid to Israel • 25%
EU diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increase in attacks against Israel • 25%
Increase in attacks against US interests • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%