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What will be the international response to the foiled Hezbollah assassination attempt by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Increased US military aid to Israel • 25%
EU diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Verified statements from the respective governments or international organizations
Story
Shin Bet Foils Hezbollah Assassination Attempt with Remote-Controlled C-4 Bomb on Former Israeli Security Official
Sep 17, 2024, 10:53 AM
The Shin Bet, Israel's internal security agency, has successfully foiled an assassination attempt orchestrated by Hezbollah targeting a former senior Israeli security official. The plot involved a remote-controlled C-4 explosive device equipped with a camera, cellular connection, and remote detonation system, enabling activation from Lebanon. The device was discovered and neutralized before it could be used. This same Hezbollah cell had previously attempted a cargo bombing in Tel Aviv. The thwarted attack comes amid rising tensions in the northern region.
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Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
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UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
UN sanctions against Israel • 25%
EU sanctions against Israel • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
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No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
U.S. imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN issues a resolution condemning the assassination • 25%
Major protests in multiple countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Sanctions against Hezbollah • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
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Strong condemnation • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Hezbollah • 25%
Condemnation of Iran • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for Investigation • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Sanctions against Hezbollah • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
Military intervention or support to Israel • 25%
No significant response • 25%