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Outcome of international diplomatic responses to Nasrallah assassination by March 2025?
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Lebanese•Abdallah Bou Habib•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Israel•Bou Habib•United States•France•US•Biden•Macron•Nasrallah•Netanyahu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official statements from international bodies like the UN or major countries involved
Story
Lebanese FM: Nasrallah Agreed to 21-Day Ceasefire Before Assassination by Israel
Oct 3, 2024, 04:37 AM
Lebanese Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib disclosed that Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah had agreed to a 21-day ceasefire with Israel just before his assassination. Bou Habib stated that the Lebanese government informed the United States and France about the ceasefire agreement, and both nations confirmed that Israel had also accepted the terms. The temporary ceasefire was reportedly brokered by the US and France, with President Biden and President Macron involved in the negotiations. Despite the agreement, Nasrallah was killed by Israel shortly after the ceasefire was established, with Netanyahu allegedly aware of the ceasefire.
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UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
UN sanctions against Israel • 25%
EU sanctions against Israel • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of Israel's actions • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Calls for de-escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
U.S. imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN issues a resolution condemning the assassination • 25%
Major protests in multiple countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation of Israel's actions • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Calls for de-escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Increased US military aid to Israel • 25%
EU diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Call for Investigation • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased conflict in Lebanon • 25%
Increased conflict in Gaza • 25%
Increased conflict in both regions • 25%
No significant increase in conflict • 25%
UN condemnation of Israel • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%