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IDF Names Beirut Operation to Assassinate Hezbollah Leader Nasrallah 'New Order'

Sep 28, 2024, 09:06 AM

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have named their recent operation to assassinate Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah as 'New Order.' The operation, which took place in Beirut on Friday, reportedly resulted in Nasrallah's death. The IDF has released pictures of military staff and the Defense Minister during the strike, as well as images from the Israeli Air Force’s underground command center. The operation targeted Hezbollah's headquarters and has drawn attention for its name, which some have noted bears historical connotations.

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Will Beirut implement increased security measures by the end of 2024?

Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•New Order•Beirut•Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Verified news reports from major news outlets like BBC, Reuters, or Al Jazeera

Will Hassan Nasrallah's death be confirmed by October 31, 2024?

Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•New Order•Beirut•Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official statements from Hezbollah or verified news reports from major news outlets like BBC, Reuters, or Al Jazeera

Will Hezbollah confirm Hassan Nasrallah's death by end of October 2024?

Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•New Order•Beirut•Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official statements from Hezbollah or verified news reports from major international news agencies

Will the UN condemn the IDF operation in Beirut by end of November 2024?

Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•New Order•Beirut•Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official statements or press releases from the United Nations

How will Hezbollah's military strategy change by the end of 2024?

Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•New Order•Beirut•Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force

Resolution / Starting Odds

Increased focus on Lebanon's internal politics • 25%

Increased attacks on Israel • 25%

Other • 25%

Strengthening alliances with other groups • 25%

Verified news reports from major news outlets like BBC, Reuters, or Al Jazeera

Immediate political response from Lebanon following IDF operation by end of October 2024?

Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•New Order•Beirut•Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force

Resolution / Starting Odds

Military response or escalation • 25%

Severe condemnation and diplomatic actions • 25%

No significant response • 25%

Call for international intervention • 25%

Official statements from the Lebanese government or verified news reports from major international news agencies

Impact on Israel's diplomatic relations following Beirut operation by end of 2024?

Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•New Order•Beirut•Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force

Resolution / Starting Odds

Increased tensions with neighboring countries • 25%

Widespread condemnation • 25%

Stronger alliances with Western countries • 25%

Mixed or neutral impact • 25%

Verified news reports and official statements from involved countries

What will be the international response to Nasrallah's assassination by the end of 2024?

Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•New Order•Beirut•Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force

Resolution / Starting Odds

Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%

Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%

No significant change • 25%

Other • 25%

Verified news reports from major news outlets like BBC, Reuters, or Al Jazeera

Who will be named the new leader of Hezbollah by end of 2024?

Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•New Order•Beirut•Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force

Resolution / Starting Odds

Ibrahim al-Amin • 25%

Mustafa Mughniyeh • 25%

Other • 25%

Naim Qassem • 25%

Official statements from Hezbollah or verified news reports from major international news agencies

Who will be the next Hezbollah leader by the end of 2024?

Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•New Order•Beirut•Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force

Resolution / Starting Odds

Hashem Safieddine • 25%

Ibrahim al-Amin • 25%

Naim Qassem • 25%

Other • 25%

Verified news reports from major news outlets like BBC, Reuters, or Al Jazeera