Loading...
Market
How will key international players react to Russia's nuclear drills by July 2024?
4
Vladimir Putin•Russian•Western•Southern Military District•Russia•Putin•NATO•Steadfast Defender exercise•Cold War•French•Emmanuel Macron•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
US issues sanctions • 33%
EU issues joint statement of condemnation • 33%
China publicly supports Russia • 34%
Official statements from respective countries or international news coverage
Story
Putin Orders Tactical Nuclear Drills in Response to NATO's Steadfast Defender
May 6, 2024, 08:04 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered the Russian military to conduct nuclear weapon drills involving tactical nuclear weapons, in response to perceived Western provocations. These exercises, scheduled to involve missile units, naval forces, and aviation from the Southern Military District, aim to ensure Russia's security and practice the operational use of non-strategic nuclear weapons. This action coincides with Putin's inauguration for a fifth term and follows NATO's ongoing Steadfast Defender exercise, its largest since the Cold War. The drills are partly a reaction to comments by French President Emmanuel Macron regarding NATO's involvement in Ukraine.
View original story
Similar markets
Condemnation by UN • 25%
New sanctions by EU/US • 25%
Support from China or North Korea • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Condemnation by the UN Security Council • 25%
New sanctions imposed by Western countries • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Support from China or other allies • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 33%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Diplomatic protests • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military escalation • 34%
Condemnation from more than 5 countries • 25%
Formal sanctions against China • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased military aid to Taiwan from allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military escalation • 34%
Condemnations without action • 25%
New international treaties proposed • 25%
Global peace rallies • 25%
Increased isolation of Russia • 25%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 33%
Support from any major country • 33%
No significant international reaction • 34%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
Support from China • 25%
Neutral stance from India • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation by multiple countries • 33%
Support from allies of China • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
High condemnation (Multiple nations and bodies) • 33%
Moderate condemnation (Limited to few Western nations) • 33%
Minimal or no condemnation • 34%