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Market
International Reactions to Russian Tactical Nuclear Drills by End of 2024
5
Russia•NATO•Western•Vladimir Putin•Southern Military District•Ukraine•Steadfast Defender•Russian•Putin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by the UN Security Council • 25%
New sanctions imposed by Western countries • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Support from China or other allies • 25%
UN Security Council resolutions, official government statements, or major international news media
Story
Putin Orders Tactical Nuclear Drills Amid NATO Threats, Involving Non-Strategic Weapons
May 6, 2024, 11:30 AM
Russia has announced it will conduct military exercises involving tactical nuclear weapons in response to perceived threats from NATO and recent Western statements. The drills, ordered by President Vladimir Putin, will involve missile units, aviation, and naval forces in the Southern Military District, which includes areas near Ukraine. This move comes after NATO's significant four-month-long military exercises near Russia's borders, dubbed Steadfast Defender, and statements by Western officials regarding potential military involvement in Ukraine. Russian officials have described the exercises, which include the involvement of non-strategic nuclear weapons, as necessary to ensure national security and deter Western aggression, amid escalating tensions between Russia and NATO countries. Putin personally issued the orders for these drills.
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Condemnation by UN • 25%
New sanctions by EU/US • 25%
Support from China or North Korea • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 33%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
US issues sanctions • 33%
EU issues joint statement of condemnation • 33%
China publicly supports Russia • 34%
Condemnation by multiple countries • 33%
Support from allies of China • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
High condemnation (Multiple nations and bodies) • 33%
Moderate condemnation (Limited to few Western nations) • 33%
Minimal or no condemnation • 34%
Condemnation from more than 5 countries • 25%
Formal sanctions against China • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased military aid to Taiwan from allies • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military escalation • 34%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
Support from China • 25%
Neutral stance from India • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military escalation • 34%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 33%
Support from any major country • 33%
No significant international reaction • 34%
Widely condemned • 33%
Met with indifference • 34%
Seen as a legitimate exercise of national defense • 33%
Condemnations without action • 25%
New international treaties proposed • 25%
Global peace rallies • 25%
Increased isolation of Russia • 25%