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What will be the international response to a potential Oreshnik missile strike by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Military Aid • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from major international bodies like the UN, NATO, and the EU
Story
U.S. Warns of Potential Oreshnik Missile Strike on Ukraine by Russia
Dec 11, 2024, 05:19 PM
U.S. intelligence has warned that Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile at Ukraine in the coming days. Despite the potential threat, Pentagon spokesperson Sabrina Singh has stated that the missile is not considered a game-changer in the ongoing conflict. The Oreshnik missile was first used last month in a strike on the city of Dnipro, which Moscow claimed was in response to Ukraine using U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles against a military airfield. The U.S. assessment suggests that Russia's use of this missile is more an attempt at intimidation than a significant shift in the war's dynamics, especially given the limited number of these missiles Russia is believed to possess.
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Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Military aid increase • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
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Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Military Preparations • 25%
No Response • 25%
UN sanctions on Iran • 25%
NATO military support to Israel • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
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Diplomatic mediation • 25%
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No significant response • 25%
Formal condemnation • 25%
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Military assistance to Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
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Condemnation by NATO • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
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Intercepted • 25%
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Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Call for ceasefire • 25%
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Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
New sanctions • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%