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VisitWill Oreshnik missiles significantly alter Ukraine conflict dynamics by March 31, 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Analyses and reports from defense analysts and military experts in prominent publications
U.S. Warns of Potential Oreshnik Missile Strike on Ukraine by Russia
Dec 11, 2024, 05:19 PM
U.S. intelligence has warned that Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile at Ukraine in the coming days. Despite the potential threat, Pentagon spokesperson Sabrina Singh has stated that the missile is not considered a game-changer in the ongoing conflict. The Oreshnik missile was first used last month in a strike on the city of Dnipro, which Moscow claimed was in response to Ukraine using U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles against a military airfield. The U.S. assessment suggests that Russia's use of this missile is more an attempt at intimidation than a significant shift in the war's dynamics, especially given the limited number of these missiles Russia is believed to possess.
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Significant escalation • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
No noticeable change • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Successful tests with no international response • 25%
Successful tests with international condemnation • 25%
Failed tests • 25%
No tests conducted • 25%
Yes, by March 2025 • 25%
Yes, by June 2025 • 25%
Yes, but after June 2025 • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Significantly improved • 25%
Moderately improved • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased • 25%
No launch • 25%
Intercepted • 25%
Hit military target • 25%
Hit civilian target • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased air defenses • 25%
Offensive operations • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Defensive Posture • 25%
Increased Offensive • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Military Aid • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%