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What will be the effect of pro-Palestinian protests on the primary outcome?
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Jamaal Bowman•George Latimer•AIPAC•Bernie Sanders•Bronx•Palestinian•Bowman•Israeli•Democratic Party•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Positive impact for Bowman • 33%
Negative impact for Bowman • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Official election results published by the New York State Board of Elections
Story
Rep. Jamaal Bowman Faces Contentious Primary Battle Against George Latimer Amid $14.5M AIPAC Spending
Jun 24, 2024, 12:41 AM
Rep. Jamaal Bowman is facing a highly contentious primary battle against George Latimer, with significant financial backing from pro-Israel groups such as AIPAC. The race has drawn national attention, with high-profile endorsements and rallies featuring progressive figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders. The rallies, including one in the Bronx, have been marked by intense rhetoric and disruptions from pro-Palestinian protesters. AIPAC has reportedly spent over $14.5 million, or $17,000 an hour, in an effort to unseat Bowman, who has been a vocal critic of Israeli policies and has called for a ceasefire. Bowman's profanity-laced attacks on AIPAC highlight the deep divisions within the Democratic Party. The primary will serve as a critical test of the influence of pro-Israel lobbying in U.S. politics and the strength of progressive movements within the Democratic Party.
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Protests proceed without incident • 25%
Protests proceed with minor incidents • 25%
Protests proceed with major incidents • 25%
Protests do not proceed • 25%
Protests proceed without incident • 25%
Protests proceed with minor incidents • 25%
Protests proceed with major incidents • 25%
Protests do not proceed • 25%
Protests lead to significant policy change • 25%
Protests continue with no significant policy change • 25%
Protests decline significantly • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests disperse peacefully • 25%
Violent clashes with police • 25%
Protests lead to significant policy discussions • 25%
Protests continue without resolution • 25%
End arms sales to Israel • 25%
Recognition of Palestinian statehood • 25%
Release of political prisoners • 25%
Other • 25%
Halt arms exports to Israel • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Increase diplomatic pressure on Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ruling in favor of protesters • 25%
Ruling in favor of Yale/federal agencies • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Peaceful protest • 25%
Minor confrontations • 25%
Major confrontations • 25%
Protesters arrested • 25%
Ceasefire in Gaza • 25%
End to arms sales to Israel • 25%
End to Israeli occupation • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire in Gaza • 25%
End arms supply to Israel • 25%
Support for Palestinian statehood • 25%
Other demands • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
10-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%