Loading...
Market
Will AIPAC's spending result in the defeat of Jamaal Bowman?
5
Jamaal Bowman•George Latimer•AIPAC•Bernie Sanders•Bronx•Palestinian•Bowman•Israeli•Democratic Party•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results published by the New York State Board of Elections
Story
Rep. Jamaal Bowman Faces Contentious Primary Battle Against George Latimer Amid $14.5M AIPAC Spending
Jun 24, 2024, 12:41 AM
Rep. Jamaal Bowman is facing a highly contentious primary battle against George Latimer, with significant financial backing from pro-Israel groups such as AIPAC. The race has drawn national attention, with high-profile endorsements and rallies featuring progressive figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders. The rallies, including one in the Bronx, have been marked by intense rhetoric and disruptions from pro-Palestinian protesters. AIPAC has reportedly spent over $14.5 million, or $17,000 an hour, in an effort to unseat Bowman, who has been a vocal critic of Israeli policies and has called for a ceasefire. Bowman's profanity-laced attacks on AIPAC highlight the deep divisions within the Democratic Party. The primary will serve as a critical test of the influence of pro-Israel lobbying in U.S. politics and the strength of progressive movements within the Democratic Party.
View original story
Similar markets
Effective • 50%
Not effective • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Bowman wins despite AIPAC spending • 33%
Latimer wins with AIPAC spending • 33%
Neither wins • 33%
Significant impact • 50%
Moderate impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Significantly influence • 50%
Not significantly influence • 50%
More than $15 million • 50%
Less than or equal to $15 million • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%