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Will endorsements from progressive figures help Jamaal Bowman win the primary?
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Jamaal Bowman•George Latimer•AIPAC•Bernie Sanders•Bronx•Palestinian•Bowman•Israeli•Democratic Party•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results published by the New York State Board of Elections
Story
Rep. Jamaal Bowman Faces Contentious Primary Battle Against George Latimer Amid $14.5M AIPAC Spending
Jun 24, 2024, 12:41 AM
Rep. Jamaal Bowman is facing a highly contentious primary battle against George Latimer, with significant financial backing from pro-Israel groups such as AIPAC. The race has drawn national attention, with high-profile endorsements and rallies featuring progressive figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders. The rallies, including one in the Bronx, have been marked by intense rhetoric and disruptions from pro-Palestinian protesters. AIPAC has reportedly spent over $14.5 million, or $17,000 an hour, in an effort to unseat Bowman, who has been a vocal critic of Israeli policies and has called for a ceasefire. Bowman's profanity-laced attacks on AIPAC highlight the deep divisions within the Democratic Party. The primary will serve as a critical test of the influence of pro-Israel lobbying in U.S. politics and the strength of progressive movements within the Democratic Party.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Bernie Sanders • 33%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez • 33%
Both Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez • 33%
Bowman wins with grassroots support • 50%
Latimer wins despite grassroots support • 50%
Bernie Sanders • 25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez • 25%
Nydia Velázquez • 25%
Other • 25%
Jamaal Bowman endorsed by AOC • 33%
George Latimer endorsed by a major figure • 33%
No significant endorsements • 34%
Effective • 50%
Not effective • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Bernie Sanders • 25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez • 25%
Elizabeth Warren • 25%
None of the above • 25%