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What will be Ilya Yashin's political activities in exile by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Forms new opposition group • 25%
Joins existing opposition group • 25%
Ceases political activities • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified news reports or statements from Yashin or opposition groups
Story
Ilya Yashin Added to Russia's Wanted List Post-August Release for Ukraine Criticism
Dec 25, 2024, 12:15 PM
Russian opposition politician Ilya Yashin, who was released from prison in August as part of a prisoner exchange between Russia and Western countries, has been placed on Russia's wanted list. The Russian Interior Ministry added Yashin to its database of wanted persons, but no official announcement has been made regarding new criminal charges against him. Yashin, a former Moscow city councilman, expressed surprise at the move but noted that it was expected. He was previously sentenced to eight and a half years in prison in 2022 for criticizing Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Since his release, Yashin has been involved in the Russian opposition movement in exile, participating in protests against the Kremlin.
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Less than 48 months • 25%
More than 72 months • 25%
61 to 72 months • 25%
48 to 60 months • 25%
4 to 6 years • 25%
Less than 4 years • 25%
More than 6 years • 25%
No prison sentence • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea Bargain • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Other • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Appeal • 25%
Pardon • 25%
No further action • 25%
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Government reshuffle • 25%
Diplomatic action against Ukraine • 25%
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Increased security measures • 25%
Exchanged in prisoner swap • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains detained • 25%
Released • 25%
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