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Will Ilya Yashin be charged with a new offense by Russia by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Russian government or verified news reports
Story
Ilya Yashin Added to Russia's Wanted List Post-August Release for Ukraine Criticism
Dec 25, 2024, 12:15 PM
Russian opposition politician Ilya Yashin, who was released from prison in August as part of a prisoner exchange between Russia and Western countries, has been placed on Russia's wanted list. The Russian Interior Ministry added Yashin to its database of wanted persons, but no official announcement has been made regarding new criminal charges against him. Yashin, a former Moscow city councilman, expressed surprise at the move but noted that it was expected. He was previously sentenced to eight and a half years in prison in 2022 for criticizing Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Since his release, Yashin has been involved in the Russian opposition movement in exile, participating in protests against the Kremlin.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Espionage • 25%
Vandalism • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
48 to 60 months • 25%
More than 72 months • 25%
Less than 48 months • 25%
61 to 72 months • 25%
Additional charges filed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other • 25%
Espionage • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Both Espionage and Sabotage • 25%
4 to 6 years • 25%
More than 6 years • 25%
No prison sentence • 25%
Less than 4 years • 25%