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What will be China's response to Trump's comments on Taiwan by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
China increases military presence near Taiwan • 25%
China imposes economic sanctions on Taiwan • 25%
China takes no significant action • 25%
China engages in diplomatic talks with Taiwan • 25%
Official statements from the Chinese government or actions reported in major news outlets
Story
Trump, 'Mob Godfather,' Demands Taiwan Pay for Defense, Chip Stocks Tumble
Jul 17, 2024, 01:00 PM
Former U.S. President Donald Trump has demanded that Taiwan pay for its defense, a statement that has significant implications for U.S.-Taiwan relations and the ongoing Taiwan Strait dispute. Trump, referred to as a 'mob godfather' by some, accused Taiwan of taking American semiconductor technology and business, and suggested that Taiwan should bear the financial burden of its own defense against China. This stance has caused unease among U.S. allies and has led to a decline in chip stocks on Wall Street, with stocks tumbling. Trump's comments have highlighted the complexities of U.S. foreign policy in the region, especially considering Taiwan's willingness to increase its defense spending, which has often been hampered by U.S. reluctance to sell weapons. The remarks have also emboldened China, further complicating the geopolitical landscape.
View original story
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Military actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military exercises by China • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed by China • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Resume nuclear arms talks • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
Increase military presence near Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Exercises • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
U.N. intervention • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan from other countries • 25%
Increased support for China from other countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased support for Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Currency Devaluation • 25%
Tariff Retaliation • 25%
Negotiations • 25%
Other Economic Measures • 25%
No response • 25%
Verbal warning • 25%
Military tailing • 25%
Physical confrontation • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Significant conflict or skirmish • 25%