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What will China's response be to U.S. arms sale to Taiwan by end of 2024?
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United States•Taiwan•China•NASAMS•Sentinel•Ukraine•Chinese•Ministry of Foreign Affairs•Taiwan Strait
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official announcements from China's government or credible international news agencies
Story
U.S. Approves $2 Billion NASAMS Missile Sale to Taiwan; China Vows Countermeasures
Oct 26, 2024, 08:35 PM
The United States has approved a potential $2 billion arms sale to Taiwan, including advanced missile defense systems and radar equipment, amid rising tensions with China. The package, totaling $1.988 billion, includes three National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NASAMS), Sentinel radars, 123 AMRAAM-ER missiles, and AN/TPS-77 and AN/TPS-78 radar systems. This marks the first time Taiwan will receive the NASAMS system, which has been battle-tested in Ukraine. The sale reaffirms the U.S. commitment to Taiwan under the Taiwan Relations Act and Six Assurances, aiming to strengthen Taiwan's self-defense capabilities amid rising Chinese military pressure. China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned the move, vowed to take "countermeasures," and deployed fighter jets and drones around Taiwan in a "joint combat readiness patrol." Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te declared that the island would not yield any of its territory, and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs welcomed the U.S. approval, emphasizing the determination to safeguard peace in the Taiwan Strait. The arms sale comes a week after Chinese military exercises near the island.
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Strong condemnation from China • 33%
Mild condemnation from China • 33%
No official response from China • 33%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Resume nuclear arms talks • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
Increase military presence near Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%
Issue a formal protest • 25%
Recall ambassador from U.S. • 25%
Impose economic sanctions on Taiwan • 25%
No significant diplomatic response • 25%
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Exercises • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Increased military exercises • 33%
Increased defense budget • 33%
New defense agreements with other countries • 33%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises near Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic protests only • 25%
Other retaliatory measures • 25%
Condemnation from China • 25%
Support from US allies • 25%
Neutral stance from most countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Public statement of gratitude • 25%
Request for more aid • 25%
No official response • 25%
Requests more arms • 25%
Accepts current sales • 25%
Requests diplomatic mediation • 25%
Seeks alternative suppliers • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increase military drills • 25%
Seek further arms purchases • 25%
Strengthen diplomatic ties with the US • 25%
Other • 25%